COVID19: Ventilators

We may be wasting valuable energy and attention on obtaining, allocating, and stockpiling ventilators that are not going to change the overall statistical outcomes of this pandemic.   We may be better off focusing our attention on other more productive avenues for protecting the population from reaching the point where ventilators are the last available option.   

Covid19: Rolling Quarantines

Based on the recent policy decisions, we have learned that pandemics are unavoidable and unpredictable.   We learned that the best minds in epidemiology dictate a policy that inevitably kills businesses instantly, and obliterates capital everywhere.   We learned there is no point in any form of long-term planning or investing because the public policy is that everything is expendable when it comes to fighting a pandemic of anything with an elevated rate of mortality.

Covid19: Competing purposes of testing

As during the Prohibition where people moved their social gathering from public bars and saloons to their private residences, I think the same thing will happen now.   Social gathering in comparable numbers will resume but they will be in private “speak easy” locations with restricted entry to those who have the right test results instead of knowing the right password.

Covid19: Eastern Airlines Flight 401 for our time

The world is getting close to the terrain and it is speeding up, but we’re entirely focused on some problem.   That problem we are focusing on is serious, but if left alone it will not alone lead to the demise of the entire modern economy and the civilization that economy supports.   On the other hand, single-minded focus on this problem can leave everything in ruin.   I don’t trust the pilots.

Punctuated liberty as new normalcy

With this more diffuse spread of the disease and early warning from experience out of China, we could be implementing their late-stage practices right up front. Require people to check-in/check-out of each public gathering space, have them record their names and times when the enter and leave, and record their responses to health questions along with a quick temperature reading.

Covid19 National Emergency based on tunnel vision data

I don’t think the rapid declaration of emergencies and the cascading declarations at every state and local government was a prudent decision.   I would like to imagine a dedomenocracy would have come up with a wiser plan of action.   A wiser plan of action would be to be much more selective about declaration of emergency and focused in such a way to minimize the impact.